Tag: National Bank of Ethiopia

  • National Bank of Ethiopia raise credit growth cap to 18% amid declining inflation

    National Bank of Ethiopia raise credit growth cap to 18% amid declining inflation

    The Central Bank of Ethiopia has raised the annual credit growth cap for commercial banks from 14 percent to 18 percent, indicating a gradual relaxation of monetary regulations in the face of declining inflation.

    Despite the change, the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) will continue to implement its stricter monetary policy framework, the regulator said in a statement on Tuesday.

    The NBE explained its decision to maintain credit growth limitations, albeit at a higher level, by stating that sensible monetary management is still crucial even when inflationary pressures have shown indications of abating.

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    During its first meeting on December 31, the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) endorsed the decision, which shows hope for Ethiopia’s improving inflation forecast.

    Inflation fell by 16.9% in November 2024

    In November, year-over-year inflation fell to 16.9 percent, the lowest level in five years, as supply chains improved and monetary policy tightened.

    To reduce inflationary pressures and stabilise exchange rate expectations, the MPC kept the central bank’s policy rate at 15 percent even while lending restrictions were loosened.

    Reserve requirements and standing facility rates, among other monetary measures, have not changed.

    “While recent inflation out-turns have been encouraging and show a generally disinflationary direction, it nonetheless remains important to maintain a prudent monetary stance” the MPC said in a statement, adding that the central bank aims to achieve single-digit inflation over the medium term.

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    Ethiopia’s economy grew by 8.1%

    Ethiopia’s economy rose by 8.1 per cent in the fiscal year 2023–2024, according to government estimates, and this trend has continued into the current one.

    According to the NBE, growth is being supported by record-high foreign exchange reserves, a bumper harvest, and increased industrial output, which were all aided by an exchange rate revision in July 2024. Nonetheless, the banking industry continues to face liquidity issues due to high loan-to-deposit ratios and constrained excess reserves.

    The Committee “recognised the disinflationary trend in the latest monthly inflation data (-0.8 per cent for November 2024), the unusually tight liquidity and credit conditions prevailing in the banking system, and the sharp real decline in monetary aggregates relative to nominal GDP.”

    Inflation and general economic conditions will determine future policy changes, and the MPC’s next meeting is set for March 25, 2025.

  • Ethiopia opens its economy to foreign bank investments for the first time

    Ethiopia opens its economy to foreign bank investments for the first time

    Ethiopia’s parliament on Tuesday passed a new law which officially opens the nation’s banking sector to foreign investments for the first time to boost economic growth, encourage innovation, and increase competitiveness.

    The new legislation titled “Banking Business Proclamation” marks a historic step towards banking sector liberalisation and a turning point for one of Africa’s biggest but most isolated economies.

    The press statement released by the National Bank of Ethiopia on Tuesday stated that the new legislation will “provide a legal framework that would allow opening of the banking sector for foreign investment, enabling foreign banks and investors to contribute to the economic development of the country.”

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    The declaration, which follows years of debate, presents a methodically regulated strategy for banking market opening that strikes a balance between safeguards for local ownership and stability and the requirement for foreign investment and experience.

    Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government’s larger economic reform plan aligns with the decision, as Ethiopia aims to modernise its banking institutions, draw in international investment, and set itself up for World Trade Organisation (WTO) membership.

    Shift from decades of Ethiopia’s protectionist policies 

    The opening of Ethiopia’s banking industry shows the government’s will to modernise the economy and draw in foreign investment, marking a dramatic shift from decades of protectionist policies.

    For Ethiopia’s expanding fintech industry, which has long struggled to obtain foreign cash and capital, the announcement of international bank entry comes at a crucial time.

    Foreigners were initially permitted to invest in Ethiopian payment system operators by the 2023 National Payment System (Amendment) Proclamation. This created opportunities for collaboration and innovation within the ecosystem of financial technology. By allowing foreign banks with local operations to facilitate capital flows and addressing long-standing foreign exchange constraints that have impeded fintech expansion, the new banking law builds on this momentum.

    Advantages of the Ethiopia’s Banking Business Proclamation 

    More access to foreign funding will help startups, especially as they work to reach the National Bank’s 50 million birr (about $869,000) minimum capital requirements.

    Experts in the field predict that international investors would boost competition, spur innovation, and improve banking services in Ethiopia’s financial industry.

    The reform will also offers Ethiopia’s fintech industry a chance to increase their technological capabilities, establish new alliances, and obtain funding.

    By collaborating with well-established banks and utilising their technical solutions to enhance financial inclusion and service underserved areas including small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), cooperatives, and agriculture, fintech companies are anticipated to play a crucial role.

    “Following the amendment of the proclamation, the ecosystem will be opened, which means highly experienced foreign companies will enter into the Ethiopian [financial] system,” said Solomon Damtew, the former acting director of Ethiopia’s payments and settlement systems directorate.

    The new law will allow Ethiopian banks to establish subsidiaries, including specialised banks for industries including microbusinesses, export/import, and mortgage lending.

    Ethiopia’s aspirations to join the World Trade Organisation are directly linked to its determination to liberalise its banking industry.

    Key member countries, such as the U.S. and Canada, have demanded that the country open its financial markets during the more than 20-year-long accession negotiations. Ethiopia hopes to resolve one of the main concerns brought up during WTO accession talks by easing some of the restrictions on foreign participation. Negotiations are anticipated to go more quickly as a result of the action, which also sends a message to foreign investors that Ethiopia is prepared to join the global economy.

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    New law to balance the protection of local industry and attract foreign investments

    The government has put protections in place to guarantee that local ownership stays substantial even while the proclamation welcomes foreign investment.

    Ethiopia’s cautious approach is reflected in the 49% aggregate cap on foreign shareholding, which strikes a balance between the need to preserve domestic control and the advantages of international competition and experience.

    The approach used by the Ethiopian government is consistent with a larger pattern in African markets, where nations are gradually opening up their banking industries to draw in foreign investment while maintaining regulatory control and safeguarding domestic firms.

    An important turning point in Ethiopia’s economic reform plan has been reached with the country’s decision to open its banking industry to foreign investors. To modernise its financial system, promote innovation, and propel sustainable growth, the government intends to welcome foreign banks and investors while upholding local safeguards.

    All eyes are fastened on international bank participants as they negotiate Ethiopia’s developing financial landscape and support the nation’s economic goals.